Intelligence Hub
Cross-cutting decision support — emissions, finance, policy alignment
94.9
MtCO2e (2022, excl. LULUCF)
-32%
Target by 2030 vs 143 MtCO2e BAU
$2.73B
Annual shortfall vs $5.13B need
$136M
VCM revenue (2023), 296 projects
Intelligence Alerts
Budget-NDC Misalignment: LULUCF
Budget × NDCLULUCF has the 2nd largest NDC target (20.8 MtCO2e) but Ministry of Environment gets only KES 26.4B — just 0.7% of national budget. Forest cover target of 10% by 2030 requires KES 120B+.
InvestigateArticle 6 Transfer Risk
Registry × NDCPending LOAs for 585K ITMOs to Switzerland and Japan. If authorized, corresponding adjustments reduce Kenya's reported reductions by ~0.6% of NDC target. Verify domestic NDC buffer.
InvestigateCarbon Revenue Opportunity
Registry × Finance296 VCM projects generated $136M in 2023. Projected 141M tCO2e (2025-2030) at average $5.20/credit could yield $733M — exceeding GCF allocations to Kenya ($390M total).
InvestigateMRV Data Gap: Agriculture
MRV QualityAgriculture is 47.4% of emissions (44.92 MtCO2e) but relies on PRIMAP-hist modeled data. No bottom-up activity data for enteric fermentation. Weakens BTR credibility.
InvestigateBudget × NDC Alignment (FY 2024/25)
Ministry allocations vs NDC mitigation targets (KES Billions)
Total climate-tagged: KES 358B (~9.1% of KES 3.92T budget) | Source: Kenya National Treasury FY 2024/25, NCCAP III
AI Decision Support
LIVEStrategic Priorities
Sector-by-sector NDC implementation priorities with cost-effectiveness ranking.
Cross-Sector Synergies
Identify where MRV, NDC, and Registry data reveal compounding opportunities.
Budget-NDC Alignment
Deep analysis of national budget allocations against NDC implementation requirements.